Brownian motion and the scale of random change
Specify a continuous Gaussian process through its increments, identify square-root time scaling, and explain why ordinary pathwise calculus fails.
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The question for today
What you’ll understand
- Compute Brownian increment laws, covariances, and conditional predictions.
- Use the correct square-root time scaling.
- Distinguish continuous paths from differentiable or finite-variation paths.
Many small centered disturbances can accumulate into motion whose typical size grows like the square root of elapsed time. Brownian motion is the continuous-time reference model for that behavior. It specifies a joint law for an entire random path, not just a collection of unrelated Gaussian snapshots. Its paths are continuous yet almost surely too rough for ordinary velocity or Riemann–Stieltjes integration. Understanding both the probabilistic specification and that roughness explains why stochastic calculus needs a new integration rule rather than simply adding random symbols to deterministic differential equations.
The increment specification determines dependence across time
A standard one-dimensional Brownian motion starts at zero, has continuous paths almost surely, and has independent Gaussian increments. Over a time interval of length h, the increment has mean zero and variance h. Independence refers to increments over disjoint intervals, not to positions at different times. Later positions contain earlier increments, so they are correlated. A Brownian motion relative to a filtration also requires the future increment to be independent of the information available at the earlier endpoint.
For times s≤t, decompose Bₜ as Bₛ plus its independent future increment. This immediately gives covariance s and conditional mean Bₛ. The conditional variance of Bₜ given the past through s is t−s. Marginal normality alone would not imply these properties: a process Xₜ=√t Z built from one standard normal variable has the same one-time distributions but completely different dependence. A process is specified by compatible joint distributions and path behavior, not a histogram at a single time.
Rescaling time requires rescaling amplitude by its square root
If time runs a times faster, increment variances become a times larger. Dividing amplitude by √a restores unit variance per unit time. The rescaled process therefore has the same finite-dimensional distributions and continuous-path law as standard Brownian motion. Equality in distribution does not say that the two constructions produce identical values on each particular realization. This distinction lets us reason about process laws without confusing them with one coupled simulation or one displayed trajectory.
The square-root scale also explains the normalization of symmetric random walks. A sum of n independent centered unit-variance steps has standard deviation √n, so observe it at accelerated time and divide displacement by √n. Under a functional central limit theorem, suitably interpolated paths converge in distribution to Brownian motion. This is a limit theorem with assumptions on the increments and a specified path-space topology. Correlated steps or infinite-variance tails can lead to different limits, so Brownian behavior is not a universal consequence of having many disturbances.
Continuous does not mean smooth enough for ordinary calculus
Brownian sample paths are almost surely nowhere differentiable. Over short intervals, increments have size of order √h, which is much larger than h; a putative difference quotient therefore does not settle into an ordinary velocity. More precisely, on uniform partitions of a fixed interval [0,T], the sum of squared increments converges to T in mean square. Along suitable refining sequences one can also obtain almost-sure statements. This nonzero quadratic variation is the source of Itô's second-derivative correction.
A continuous finite-variation path has vanishing sums of squared increments as the partition mesh tends to zero. Brownian quadratic variation therefore rules out finite variation almost surely, on every positive-length interval. A smooth line joining finitely many sampled points hides this distinction: each interpolated path has finite variation, even though the limiting stochastic object does not. A plotted curve can communicate a scale or a realization, but neither visual roughness nor a dense display proves the required limiting property.
Work it through
Predicting a later position after one observation
A standard Brownian motion is observed at time 1 with value 2. Determine the conditional law at time 3, its conditional second moment, and the unconditional covariance between times 1 and 3.
Write B₃=B₁+(B₃−B₁). The future increment is independent of the information at time 1 and is normal with mean zero and variance 3−1=2.
Use the usual Gaussian conditional version: given , . Its conditional second moment is variance plus squared mean, so . This refers to a chosen regular conditional law, not division by the probability-zero event.
Unconditionally, covariance is min(1,3)=1. The standard deviations are 1 and √3, so correlation is 1/√3, about 0.57735. Positions are dependent even though the increment from time 1 to 3 is independent of the earlier past.
The conditional position law is N(2,2), its second moment is 6, and the unconditional covariance is 1. Conditioning reduces future uncertainty to the variance of the remaining increment.
The living notebook
Explore the model
Interactive lab · probability
Count variance and the square-root scale
Hold p at 1/2 and increase n. The exact binomial count K has variance n/4, so the centered walk endpoint 2K−n has variance n and typical scale √n. The bars show these finite-step endpoint probabilities, not Brownian paths, a Gaussian density, or a convergence proof. Compare widths after dividing by √n on paper.
- Mean · np
- 5
- Variance · np(1−p)
- 2.5
- Total probability
- 1
These are exact binomial probabilities for independent trials with one fixed success probability. Playback tours the distribution; it does not resample outcomes. Parameter changes pause playback and recompute the model at the current elapsed time. Reset restores both parameters and returns time to zero. Playback starts paused. Adjust either parameter, then choose Play or Step.
Look forLinear growth of variance produces square-root growth of typical fluctuations; Brownian motion additionally requires a consistent continuous-time process law.
Pause & reason
Check your understanding
Your turn
Try it yourself
Let Xₜ=2B(t/4). Find its increment variance and decide whether X is standard Brownian motion.
Take a moment to make a prediction or work it out on paper. Open a hint when you need one.
Give me a hint
Variance scales by the square of an amplitude multiplier. Then check the other defining properties.
Compare with the solution
An increment of B over duration (t−s)/4 has variance (t−s)/4. Multiplication by 2 gives variance 4×(t−s)/4=t−s. X starts at zero and retains continuous paths and independent centered Gaussian increments, so it is standard Brownian motion in law, with the corresponding time-rescaled filtration.
Keep the idea
Take it with you
- Brownian positions are correlated because later positions contain earlier increments.
- Time scaling by a requires amplitude scaling by 1/√a to preserve the standard process law.
- Nonzero quadratic variation separates Brownian paths from smooth or finite-variation paths and drives stochastic calculus.
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