Trigger efficiency and selection bias
Model trigger inclusion probabilities, calculate an induced spectrum distortion, and state the independence and support requirements for data-based correction.
On this page
The question for today
What you’ll understand
- Express the selected distribution as an efficiency-weighted population.
- Calculate an inclusion correction without treating prescaled data as a random full sample.
- Explain reference-trigger, support, and data-dependent selection limitations.
A trigger decides which collisions become available for later analysis. Its thresholds and resource constraints therefore participate in the measurement definition, even when the final analysis uses a much more precise reconstruction. Near a threshold, accepted events can have a very different spectrum from the underlying population. We will describe this distortion through inclusion probabilities, distinguish intrinsic trigger efficiency from live time and prescaling, and state when an independent reference sample can measure the missing fraction. Triggered data cannot reveal an entirely unobserved region without additional assumptions or information.
A selection changes the distribution
Let x be an offline quantity and let epsilon of x be the probability that an eligible event is recorded under the chosen trigger policy. Multiplying the original density by that probability and renormalizing produces the recorded density. Even if a trigger uses an online estimate rather than x itself, their correlation can distort x. Finite online resolution usually turns a nominal hard threshold into an efficiency turn-on when plotted against the offline measurement.
An efficiency plateau is defined relative to a specified offline population and event environment. It can depend on direction, pileup, particle identification, and the presence of other objects. A triggered denominator is not automatically representative: requiring the tested object to fire before estimating its efficiency removes the very failures one wants to count. An orthogonal trigger or a suitable tag-and-probe construction can provide a reference, but its conditional dependencies must still be studied.
Prescales and live time have a convention
A prescale retains only a specified fraction of events satisfying a trigger condition. Live time describes availability of the acquisition system. If intrinsic efficiency, live fraction, and prescale retention are independent in the relevant conditions, their product is the total inclusion probability. Deterministic prescales can behave differently for correlated event sequences, and trigger menus can combine overlapping paths. Adding their individual efficiencies double-counts the overlap; a logical OR requires the joint acceptance information.
One can instead express exposure through an effective luminosity that already incorporates a particular live-time or prescale convention. The same loss must not then be corrected again as an efficiency factor. Conditions change during data taking, so event weights or luminosity segments should track the policy actually applied. A single average efficiency is safe only if its weighting represents the target population. Otherwise a correct global event count can coexist with a biased differential spectrum.
Corrections need support and a fixed analysis rule
Inverse-probability weights become large where acceptance is small, inflating variance and sensitivity to calibration errors. Where inclusion probability is zero, recorded events provide no direct information about that population; division by zero is not a correction method. Analysts often restrict the measurement to a region with well-calibrated efficiency rather than extrapolate a threshold tail using an unconstrained model. Selection and fiducial definitions should make that choice explicit.
Selection bias also arises when thresholds, categories, or reference samples are optimized after examining an apparent signal in the same data. The eventual significance calculation must account for that procedure, not merely for the final frozen cut. Separate development data, blinded signal regions, or a predeclared optimization rule can make the sampling procedure assessable. An efficient trigger and an unbiased inference are related but distinct achievements: one concerns which events enter, while the other concerns how the complete selection rule is interpreted.
Work it through
A trigger reshapes two categories
A synthetic eligible population contains 400 low-energy and 600 high-energy events. Recording probabilities are 0.25 and 1, respectively, with no other losses. Calculate expected recorded categories, the recorded low-energy fraction, and the inverse-probability corrected total using those expectations.
Expected recorded counts are and , totaling 700. The recording mechanism favors the high-energy category.
The recorded low-energy fraction is , compared with 0.40 in the eligible population. A single overall normalization would leave this distortion.
Weighting each recorded low-energy event by 4 and each high-energy event by 1 gives expected total . This recovers the total in expectation, with extra sampling variance in a realized dataset.
The expected recorded low-energy fraction falls from 40 percent to about 14.3 percent; category-specific inclusion weights recover the eligible total in expectation.
The living notebook
Explore the model
Interactive lab · probability
Retention changes an accepted-count law
Reset, set Success probability p = 0.25 and Trials n = 20, and predict mean retained count 5. For a fresh comparison Reset, set p = 1 and n = 20, and predict exactly 20 retained trials with zero variance.
- Mean · np
- 5
- Variance · np(1−p)
- 2.5
- Total probability
- 1
These are exact binomial probabilities for independent trials with one fixed success probability. Playback tours the distribution; it does not resample outcomes. Parameter changes pause playback and recompute the model at the current elapsed time. Reset restores both parameters and returns time to zero. Playback starts paused. Adjust either parameter, then choose Play or Step.
Look forThis exact binomial model represents independent fixed-probability retention only. It has no threshold variable, overlapping trigger menu, live-time history, or data-driven cut optimization; playback highlights outcomes rather than generating new events.
Pause & reason
Check your understanding
Your turn
Try it yourself
A synthetic trigger has intrinsic efficiency 0.90, live fraction 0.80, and independent one-in-five retention. No effective-luminosity correction has yet been applied. Find total inclusion probability and the corrected eligible-count estimate from 144 recorded events.
Take a moment to make a prediction or work it out on paper. Open a hint when you need one.
Give me a hint
Multiply the three independent retention factors once, then divide the recorded count by their product.
Compare with the solution
The inclusion probability is . The estimated eligible count is . This estimate assumes the same probability applies to the target population, the three factors have the stated independence, and no loss was already incorporated into exposure. Uncertainty in the efficiency and live fraction must accompany the counting uncertainty rather than being silently treated as exact.
Keep the idea
Take it with you
- Triggering reweights distributions through kinematic inclusion probabilities.
- Prescales, live time, overlapping paths, and exposure conventions must be handled consistently.
- Positive support and a fixed or properly accounted selection procedure are required for defensible corrections.
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